As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 2% probability that Jared Polis leaves as Governor of Colorado before Jan 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
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If Jared Polis leaves as Governor of Colorado before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Jared Polis must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Resolved using The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News and The Washington Post.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 2%, down from 4% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
