As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 15% probability that the U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 3,500 units. 11 outcomes · resolves May 3, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 3,500 units”: If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 3,500 units, then the market resolves to Yes. For this market, “multifamily” means housing units in structures containing 5 units or more, corresponding to the BPS column labeled “5 Units or More.” Units in 2-unit and 3–4-unit structures will not be included. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 11 outcomes. “Above 3,500 units” leads at 15%, up from 12% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 4,000 units”, is at 13%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes May 3, 2027.
