As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 99% probability that the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.1%. 11 outcomes · resolves Jun 30, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 25.1%”: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.1%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators. Resolved using Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation and Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 11 outcomes. “Above 25.1%” leads at 99%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 25.2%”, is at 99%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jun 30, 2027.
