As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 93% probability that the answer to “Will any state enact a data center moratorium law?” is “Before Jan 1, 2028”. 3 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before Jan 1, 2028”: If legislation that temporarily or indefinitely prohibits, suspends, or pauses the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within the enacting state has become law in any U.S. state before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. Resolved using ABC, Fox News and MSNBC.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 3 outcomes. “Before Jan 1, 2028” leads at 93%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before Jul 1, 2027”, is at 64%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2027.
