As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 50% probability that the US labor force participation rate for December 2026 is between 61.5% and 61.9%, as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by Trading Economics. 5 outcomes · resolves Jan 8, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “61.5% to 61.9%”: If the US labor force participation rate for December 2026 is between 61.5% and 61.9%, as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by Trading Economics, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “year-end 2026” means the December 2026 reference month. The market will resolve based on the first value published for December 2026. Later revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution. Resolved using Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation and Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 5 outcomes. “61.5% to 61.9%” leads at 50%, up from 45% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “61.0% to 61.4%”, is at 25%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 8, 2027.
