As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 90% probability that The Weeknd releases a new song in 2026. 26 outcomes · resolves Jan 8, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “The Weeknd”: If The Weeknd releases a new song in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on public availability on Spotify under the artist's official discography. For markets specifying "new song" or "new music," the release must be an original composition first released during the time period. Resolved using Spotify.
This Entertainment market on OpinionKings has 26 outcomes. “The Weeknd” leads at 90%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Eminem”, is at 84%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 8, 2027.