As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 7% probability that Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Jan 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
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If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary. Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included. Resolved using Federal Register.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 7%, down from 10% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
