As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 46% probability that the number of Representatives voting Yea on the Protect College Sports Act before Jan 1, 2027 is below 200. 8 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Below 200”: If the number of Representatives voting Yea on the Protect College Sports Act before Jan 1, 2027 is below 200, then the market resolves to Yes. The Protect College Sports Act means S. 4668 (119th Congress), including as amended and regardless of any change to its short title, or a House bill with the same short title. Only the first final House vote on passage counts. Resolved using Library of Congress.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 8 outcomes. “Below 200” leads at 46%, up from 44% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “280-299”, is at 11%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
