As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 95% probability that the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 3500 USD/t.oz. 24 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “3,500 or above”: If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 3500 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using Pyth - Gold.
This Commodities market on OpinionKings has 24 outcomes. “3,500 or above” leads at 95%, up from 92% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “3,700 or above”, is at 89%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.