As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 6% probability that legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne has become law in United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027. 3 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before Jan 1, 2027”: If legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne has become law in United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this contract, enactment is satisfied upon the bill receiving Royal Assent in the United Kingdom; corresponding legislation or formal consent by Commonwealth realms is not required. Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. Resolved using ABC, The Information and MSNBC.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 3 outcomes. “Before Jan 1, 2027” leads at 6%, unchanged from a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2027.
