As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 5% probability that Elizabeth MacDonough has either officially announced their intention to leave as Parliamentarian of the United States Senate or has actually left as Parliamentarian of the United States Senate before Jan 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
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If Elizabeth MacDonough has either officially announced their intention to leave as Parliamentarian of the United States Senate or has actually left as Parliamentarian of the United States Senate before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. Resolved using The Washington Post, Fox News and MSNBC.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 5%, down from 7% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
