As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 1% probability that a bill that eliminates capital gains taxes for at least some digital assets becomes law before Jan 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If a bill that eliminates capital gains taxes for at least some digital assets becomes law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The law must explicitly eliminate or permanently repeal the capital gains tax liability for at least one clearly defined class or category of digital assets. “Digital assets” are defined as assets existing solely in digital form and recorded on a digital ledger (including, but not limited to, cryptocurrencies, tokens, and non-fungible tokens). Resolved using White House and Library of Congress.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 1%, unchanged from a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
