As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 41% probability that JD Vance and Marco Rubio both announce presidential campaigns to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before January 1, 2028. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2028.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
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If JD Vance and Marco Rubio both announce presidential campaigns to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. Resolved using Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics and Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 41%, up from 32% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2028.
