As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 37% probability that USDA NASS reports that Montana’s inventory of all cattle and calves for January 1, 2027 is above 2,140,000 head. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 31, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
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5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
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If USDA NASS reports that Montana’s inventory of all cattle and calves for January 1, 2027 is above 2,140,000 head, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is USDA NASS’s Cattle, Including Calves — Inventory estimate for Montana as of January 1, 2027. This includes all cattle and calves and is not limited to beef cows, dairy cows, or cattle on feed. The 2,140,000-head threshold is fixed and will not change if NASS later revises its January 1, 2026 estimate. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 37%, up from 33% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 31, 2027.
