As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 35% probability that the value of S&P/TSX Composite Index (TSX) is at least 38,000 from Jul 9, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026. 3 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “At least 38,000”: If the value of S&P/TSX Composite Index (TSX) is at least 38,000 from Jul 9, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the value of the S&P/TSX Composite Index as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. Resolved using Trading View.
This Financials market on OpinionKings has 3 outcomes. “At least 38,000” leads at 35%, up from 16% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “At least 40,000”, is at 13%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
