As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 9% probability that Ye has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of The United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If Ye has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of The United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits. For cities, official municipal boundaries apply. For states/provinces, official boundaries apply. For countries, internationally recognized borders apply. Resolved using The Guardian, Fox News and Semafor.
This Entertainment market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 9%, down from 10% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
