As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 24% probability that US judicial independence is undermined before Jan 20, 2029. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 20, 2029.
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If US judicial independence is undermined before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. This is defined as any of the following occurring: An executive order alters the structure of the judiciary. Resolved using ABC, Fox News and MSNBC.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 24%, up from 23% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 20, 2029.
