As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 74% probability that the Supreme Court, in Department of Homeland Security v. D.V.D., rules that the district court’s classwide declaratory relief and vacatur of DHS’s third-country removal Guidance cannot stand. 2 outcomes · resolves Aug 1, 2028.
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If the Supreme Court, in Department of Homeland Security v. D.V.D., rules that the district court’s classwide declaratory relief and vacatur of DHS’s third-country removal Guidance cannot stand, then the market resolves to Yes. The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled, in Department of Homeland Security v. D.V.D., that the district court’s February 25, 2026 classwide declaratory relief and its vacatur under the Administrative Procedure Act of the Government’s Guidance on third-country removals cannot stand, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. Resolved using Supreme Court.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 74%, down from 75% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Aug 1, 2028.
