As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 3% probability that Sébastien Bubeck has either officially announced their intention to leave employment at OpenAI or has actually left employment at OpenAI before Jan 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If Sébastien Bubeck has either officially announced their intention to leave employment at OpenAI or has actually left employment at OpenAI after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. Resolved using OpenAI, Sébastien Bubeck and Reuters.
This Ai market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 3%, unchanged from a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
