As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 67% probability that the official ranked choice voting tabulation for the 2026 Alaska Senate election consists of exactly 3 rounds. 3 outcomes · resolves Feb 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “3”: If the official ranked choice voting tabulation for the 2026 Alaska Senate election consists of exactly 3 rounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using ABC, Fox News and The Wall Street Journal.
This Elections market on OpinionKings has 3 outcomes. “3” leads at 67%, up from 44% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “2”, is at 50%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Feb 1, 2027.
