As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 8% probability that France officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
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If France officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. A "snap election" is a national election for the legislature or head of government called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally or legally required date. Resolved using ABC, Fox News and MSNBC.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 8%, unchanged from a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
