As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 99% probability that the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.1% in October 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. 5 outcomes · resolves Nov 25, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 0.1%”: If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.1% in October 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on the expected release of the data. It will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of the data, or one week after the expected release of the data. Resolved using Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 5 outcomes. “Above 0.1%” leads at 99%, up from 83% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 0.2%”, is at 96%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Nov 25, 2026.
