As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 98% probability that Moderna is announced to be or is officially added to MSCI USA Index during October 1, 2026 to December 31, 2026. 9 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Moderna”: If Moderna is announced to be or is officially added to MSCI USA Index during October 1, 2026 to December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market concerns the MSCI USA Index, the Standard large- and mid-cap index. MSCI USA Small Cap, MSCI USA IMI, MSCI World as a whole, and ESG or factor variants are separate indexes. The first relevant official MSCI announcement or actual membership change specified by this market must occur during the stated time period. Resolved using MSCI.
