As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 38% probability that Tom Cruise is cast in a Film With Ana de Armas before Dec 31, 2030. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2030.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If Tom Cruise is cast in a Film With Ana de Armas before Dec 31, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. This market DOES NOT encompass the upcoming Doug Liman film 'Deeper', in which both are slated to star. Resolution will only occur if the two are officially cast together in a different film during the life of the market For the purposes of this market, “cast” means any credited acting role, whether live-action or voice acting in an animated film. Resolved using ABC, Fox News and MSNBC.