As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 11% probability that James McDonald is the first person confirmed as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York before Jan 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
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If James McDonald is the first person confirmed as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No. Resolved using U.S. Senate.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 11%, unchanged from a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
