As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 99% probability that USDA NASS reports that South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 125 bu/acre. 12 outcomes · resolves Jan 31, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 125 bu/acre”: If USDA NASS reports that South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 125 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will be based on South Dakota’s 2026 corn for grain yield per harvested acre, as reported by USDA NASS in the first Crop Production Annual Summary containing the final 2026 estimate. Yield is measured in bushels per harvested acre. Corn silage yield will not be considered. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 12 outcomes. “Above 125 bu/acre” leads at 99%, up from 97% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 130 bu/acre”, is at 98%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 31, 2027.
