As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 29% probability that the answer to “Will Arkansas's crypto mining ownership ban survive appeal?” is Yes. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 31, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If the United States Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit vacates or reverses, in whole or in part and on any ground including ripeness, the preliminary injunction barring enforcement of Act 174 of 2024's foreign-ownership restrictions on digital asset mining businesses in Jones Eagle LLC v. Ward before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using CourtListener, Westlaw and ABC.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 29%, down from 45% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 31, 2027.
