As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 96% probability that global personal remittances received in 2026 are above $800 billion, according to the World Bank’s July 2028 WDI archive or the subsequent qualifying archive specified below. 8 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2028.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above $800 billion”: If global personal remittances received in 2026 are above $800 billion, according to the World Bank’s July 2028 WDI archive or the subsequent qualifying archive specified below, then the market resolves to Yes. Use the 2026 “World” value for “Personal remittances, received (current US$)” (BX.TRF.PWKR.CD.DT) in the July 2028 WDI archive as initially published. Resolved using World Bank.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 8 outcomes. “Above $800 billion” leads at 96%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above $750 billion”, is at 94%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2028.
