As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 65% probability that CDU wins the 2027 North Rhine-Westphalia state election. 7 outcomes · resolves Apr 25, 2028.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “CDU”: If CDU wins the 2027 North Rhine-Westphalia state election, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins. Resolved using State Returning Officer of North Rhine-Westphalia.
This Elections market on OpinionKings has 7 outcomes. “CDU” leads at 65%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “AfD”, is at 26%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Apr 25, 2028.
