As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 26% probability that the Secretary of State visits Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027. 9 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Venezuela”: If the Secretary of State visits Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Mere layovers, and visits to foreign embassies in the United States, do not count as foreign trips. Resolved using ABC, Fox News and MSNBC.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 9 outcomes. “Venezuela” leads at 26%, up from 11% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Mexico”, is at 20%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
