As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 57% probability that Ciryl Gane is the UFC Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. 12 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Ciryl Gane”: If Ciryl Gane is the UFC Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If there is no recognized champion in Heavyweight on Dec 31, 2026, the market titled "Vacant" will resolve Yes. Resolved using MMA Fighting, Fox Sports and ESPN.
This Sports market on OpinionKings has 12 outcomes. “Ciryl Gane” leads at 57%, down from 67% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Josh Hokit”, is at 45%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
