As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 66% probability that Lorne Doerkson formally holds the position of leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so. 11 outcomes · resolves Jan 8, 2028.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Lorne Doerkson”: If Lorne Doerkson formally holds the position of leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. Resolved using Elections BC, Conservative Party of British Columbia and Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
This Elections market on OpinionKings has 11 outcomes. “Lorne Doerkson” leads at 66%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Aaron Gunn”, is at 16%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 8, 2028.
