As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 90% probability that the Illinois’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only FHFA HPI for Q4 2026 is above 327.38. 2 outcomes · resolves Feb 26, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If the Illinois’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only FHFA HPI for Q4 2026 is above 327.38, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the index_sa value for Illinois (IL), year 2026, quarter 4, in FHFA’s quarterly state Purchase-Only House Price Index dataset. The market measures Q4-over-Q4 price change, not an annual average or calendar-year average. Resolution uses the first FHFA publication containing the Q4 2026 value; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 90%, up from 89% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Feb 26, 2027.
