As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 97% probability that Alaska’s total crude oil field production in calendar year 2026 is above 153.607 million barrels. 2 outcomes · resolves Mar 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
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5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
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If Alaska’s total crude oil field production in calendar year 2026 is above 153.607 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is Alaska’s calendar-year total field production of crude oil, measured in barrels. The 153.607 million-barrel baseline is fixed to the 2025 annual total at market launch; later revisions do not change the strike. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 97%, up from 94% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Mar 1, 2027.
