As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 79% probability that the all-hours average real-time power price at PJM Western Hub is above $35/MWh in November 2026. 7 outcomes · resolves Nov 30, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above $35/MWh”: If the all-hours average real-time power price at PJM Western Hub is above $35/MWh in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Period: November 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT to December 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST. Includes the start; excludes the end. Source: PJM Data Miner 2’s verified hourly real-time total LMPs. Intervals follow their Eastern-time start times; repeated daylight-saving hours count separately. Calculation: Simple average of all applicable hourly prices, including negative prices. Resolved using PJM Interconnection, L.L.C..