As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 34% probability that Callum Turner is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030. 34 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2030.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Callum Turner”: If Callum Turner is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included. Resolved using Variety.
This Entertainment market on OpinionKings has 34 outcomes. “Callum Turner” leads at 34%, down from 74% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Robert Pattinson”, is at 33%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2030.
