As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 94% probability that Franklin Arias plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Aug 1, 2028. 6 outcomes · resolves Oct 31, 2028.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before Aug 1, 2028”: If Franklin Arias plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Aug 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Resolved using ESPN.
This Sports market on OpinionKings has 6 outcomes. “Before Aug 1, 2028” leads at 94%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before Nov 1, 2028”, is at 90%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Oct 31, 2028.
