As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 5% probability that the answer to “How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?” is “At least 250 billion”. 6 outcomes · resolves Mar 31, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
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Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “At least 2 trillion”: If government spending decreases by at least 2000 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using FRED.
