As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 56% probability that the U.S. Department of the Treasury or the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) announces prior-year Section 280E relief for state-licensed medical marijuana businesses before Jul 1, 2027. 3 outcomes · resolves Jun 30, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before Jul 1, 2027”: If the U.S. Department of the Treasury or the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) announces prior-year Section 280E relief for state-licensed medical marijuana businesses before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using ABC, The Information and MSNBC.
