As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 77% probability that the New York legislature has adopted new, qualifying congressional district maps before Nov 7, 2028. 13 outcomes · resolves Nov 6, 2028.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “New York”: If the New York legislature has adopted new, qualifying congressional district maps after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
This Elections market on OpinionKings has 13 outcomes. “New York” leads at 77%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Wisconsin”, is at 74%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Nov 6, 2028.
