As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 8% probability that the total number of Canada housing starts is above 300K in any monthly release covering January 2026 through December 2026. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 18, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If the total number of Canada housing starts is above 300K in any monthly release covering January 2026 through December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The relevant statistic is the headline monthly seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts for Canada, expressed in units, as reported on Trading Economics’ Canada Housing Starts page and sourced from Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation. Resolved using Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation and Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 8%, unchanged from a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 18, 2027.
