As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 8% probability that legislation banning social media use for children under 18 or any lower age threshold has become law before Jan 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
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If legislation banning social media use for children under 18 or any lower age threshold has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A bill that allows parental consent to bypass the ban does not qualify. Resolved using White House and Library of Congress.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 8%, unchanged from a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
