As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 71% probability that Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election. 20 outcomes · resolves Jun 6, 2028.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera”: If Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. Resolved using Instituto Tlaxcalteca de Elecciones and Instituto Nacional Electoral.
This Elections market on OpinionKings has 20 outcomes. “Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera” leads at 71%, up from 55% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Raymundo Vázquez Conchas”, is at 3%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jun 6, 2028.
