As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 92% probability that the European Central Bank takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting. 5 outcomes · resolves Dec 17, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Hike 1-25bps”: If the European Central Bank takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. Resolved using European Central Bank and Trading Economics.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 5 outcomes. “Hike 1-25bps” leads at 92%, up from 84% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Maintain current rate”, is at 8%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 17, 2026.
