As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 65% probability that the answer to “Will Amazon win the FTC ad surcharge lawsuit?” is Yes. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2028.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If Amazon.com, Inc. achieves the superior outcome in the trial-level resolution of Federal Trade Commission et al. v. Amazon.com, Inc. (No. 2:26-cv-03097), originally filed in the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Washington, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Amazon.com, Inc. achieves the superior outcome through the following exclusive hierarchy: Net Monetary Recovery (Highest Priority): Amazon.com, Inc. achieves the superior outcome if they receive a larger net monetary award than all opposing parties combined (after offsetting any awards against Amazon.com, Inc.). Attorney's fees and costs are excluded. Resolved using PACER.
This Business market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 65%, up from 25% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2028.
