As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 98% probability that a coalition that includes BC Conservatives make up the next elected ruling government of British Columbia before Mar 1, 2027. 5 outcomes · resolves Mar 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “BC Conservatives”: If a coalition that includes BC Conservatives make up the next elected ruling government of British Columbia before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. Resolved using Government of British Columbia.
This Elections market on OpinionKings has 5 outcomes. “BC Conservatives” leads at 98%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “BC Greens”, is at 9%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Mar 1, 2027.
