As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 20% probability that Kari Lake is the first person confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica before Jan 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Mar 31, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before Jan 1, 2027”: If Kari Lake is the first person confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No. Resolved using U.S. Senate.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. “Before Jan 1, 2027” leads at 20%, down from 65% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before Apr 1, 2027”, is at 19%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Mar 31, 2027.
