As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 95% probability that the U.S. dollar’s share of international payments by value on Swift, excluding payments within the Eurozone, for December 2026 is above 57.0%. 7 outcomes · resolves Jan 21, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 57.0%”: If the U.S. dollar’s share of international payments by value on Swift, excluding payments within the Eurozone, for December 2026 is above 57.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the percentage share attributed to USD for December 2026 in the “International payments currency - Excluding payments within Eurozone” table published by Swift in its Global Currency Tracker. Resolved using Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation and Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index.
