As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 27% probability that USDA NASS reports that Nebraska’s cattle-on-feed inventory for December 1, 2026 is above 2.67 million head. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 18, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If USDA NASS reports that Nebraska’s cattle-on-feed inventory for December 1, 2026 is above 2.67 million head, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is Nebraska’s Cattle on Feed Inventory on 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots as reported in USDA NASS’s December 2026 Cattle on Feed report. The 2.67 million-head threshold is fixed. This specifically covers feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head, which is the state-level monthly series in the Cattle on Feed report. Use Cattle on Feed → December 18, 2026 → Nebraska → December 1, 2026 Inventory. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 27%, down from 42% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 18, 2026.
