As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 5% probability that repeal of the Jones Act becomes law before Jan 4, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 4, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If repeal of the Jones Act becomes law before Jan 4, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will pay out if a bill becomes law that repeals the Jones Act, also known as the Merchant Marine Act of 1920 before January 4 2027 (the end of the 119th congress). Additionally, if the general prohibition imposed by Jones Act on foreign-built, foreign-owned, or foreign-flagged vessels from engaging in coastwise trade within the United States is repealed or undone by newer legislation, the market will pay out. Resolved using White House and Library of Congress.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 5%, unchanged from a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 4, 2027.
